November 10, 2016
What a Trump Presidency Really Means
Give Me the Bullets:
- On November 8, 2016 Americans elected their 45th POTUS
- GOP nominee Donald Trump beat Democrat Hillary Clinton to put a Republican back in the White House
- President-elect Donald Trump will be sworn into office on January 20, 2017
After a hard-fought two-year battle, Donald Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States. He bested Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton (who many gave the edge to going into Election Day) to win 279 electoral votes to Hillary’s 228—though votes are still being counted.
How Did This Happen?
Honestly, we don’t know. It looks like there were a lot of reasons the country supported Trump, from Hillary’s email scandals to his promises of immigration reform and economic growth. Trump took the swing states of Florida, Ohio and North Carolina, and managed to turn some traditionally blue states red, including Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Data suggests women didn’t support Clinton in the numbers everyone expected them to; in fact, only 54% of women supported Hillary, which isn’t a huge change from the percent that supported Obama in 2012. Reports also show that Hillary failed to maintain the Hispanic and African-American support the President received in both the 2008 and 2012 elections (surprising considering all the questionable things Trump has said about both groups).
The other big issue (that may have cost the Democrats the election) is the gaping divide between how rural and urban areas voted. The separation between the two became even more apparent on Wednesday night, as protestors took to city centres to demonstrate their disappointment with the election results. While big cities like New York and Los Angeles tend to get all the attention (and are typically very, very blue), we often forget about that huge chunk right down the middle of the country, and all the smaller communities that surround these big, glamorous cities. It looks like those are the areas that put Trump in the White House.
More on how the vote breaks down: The Telegraph
Well, Trump will spend the next few weeks meeting with his team and figuring out how he’s going to organize his cabinet. He’ll visit the White House on Thursday to meet with President Obama and discuss the transition of power (and hopefully get some tips on how to run the most powerful country in the world). He’ll probably meet with some world leaders, start building relationships and really just gear up for the most important job he’ll ever have.
What Can We Expect From His Cabinet?
Trump has had some supporters who never wavered, and you can be sure those people will find full-time gigs in Trump’s government. Former NYC mayor Rudy Giuliani and New Jersey governor Chris Christie will almost certainly get two of the top jobs, while Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin are also expected to get offers from the New Man in Charge. The better news is that VP-elect Mike Pence has a lot of political experience, and as the Washington Post notes, “A clever president who never held office would make Vice President-elect Mike Pence effectively his chief operating officer, allowing him wide latitude to deal with Congress, select personnel and coordinate policy.” Even if you don’t agree with all his policies, at least he has some experience with this kind of thing. (Hear, Hear.)
For more predictions on who’ll make it into Trump’s inner circle: Politico
About That Policy…
Trump’s campaign included a lot of big promises—as most political campaigns do, but with the Republicans winning both Congress and the Senate, the country will be looking for him to actually follow through. (No excuses here, folks.) He’s complained about almost all of Obama’s policies, and now he’ll have the opportunity to “fix” them. Americans made it very clear on Tuesday that they’re ready for change, and they’ll be expecting the Republicans (no matter how fractured the party is) to prove that they haven’t just been talking jive.
What Does All This Mean For Canada?
Right now, not much. Though Trump has criticized some of the deals we’ve made with the U.S. (and other countries) over the years, ripping them up overnight would be detrimental to the entire economic ecosystem—and even if Trump doesn’t know that, congressmen and senators certainly do. It’ll take some time for him to propose changes to NAFTA, NATO or the Trans-Pacific partnership, and then even more time for those changes to make it through the various levels of government, so we’ll have to sit tight. Hopefully by the time he gets to relations with Canada, he’ll have a cabinet in place that can rein in some of his more outlandish proposals and keep things on a more balanced path.
The one thing we could see immediately is a spike in immigration requests. As the election results rolled in, our immigration site continually crashed, suggesting Americans might actually be serious about moving north of the border. Quite a few U.S. outlets are covering the increased interest in our country, including CNBC (“This is What You Need to Do to Move to Canada”); USA Today (“How to Move to Canada”); and Heavy (“How to Move to Canada From the US”).
Hate Everything About This?
You’re not alone. It was a painful loss for anyone who didn’t support Donald Trump, especially since he was such a polarizing candidate. Even though the next presidential election isn’t until 2020, there’s a chance for some change in 2018 when the Democrats have an opportunity to win back the House or the Senate.
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